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【栢齊 | 異度空間】統獨那話兒:「大一統」真的是歷史必然?

中國史學一直深受「大一統是歷史潮流大勢所趨」的觀念影響,彷彿將所有地方置於垂直單一權力體系之下是理所當然。孔子的這段說話,更被視為金科玉律: 「天下有道,則禮樂征伐自天子出;天下無道,則禮樂征伐自諸侯出。自諸侯出,蓋十世希不失矣;自大夫出,五世希不失矣;陪臣執國命,三世希不失矣。天下有道,則政不在大夫。天下有道,則庶人不議。」(論語‧季氏) 其中,「天下有道 […]

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【鄭永年 | 分析】西方的衰落導致非西方世界的民主危機

西方學術界和政策界花了大量的人、財、物力來研究如何擴張民主,但往往對這個過程中所包含的危機注意不夠。很顯然,民主在擴張過程中,出現各種不同的變種。總體說來,從西方到非西方,民主越來越不具備社會文化基礎,在民主內容越來越微弱的同時越來越形式化,也就是西方所普遍定義的多黨制和選舉。在很多國家,除了多黨制和選舉,就根本不存在民主的其他重要內容。也就是說,在西方民主 […]

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【Christian Scheinpflug | South America】Argentina’s Perseverance and Stability in the South Atlantic

At the end of March the UN Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf (CLCS) allowed Argentina to extend its shelf to 350 nautical miles; beyond the Falkland Islands (or Mal […]

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【鄭永年 | 分析】美國版「安全體系」能夠保障亞洲和平嗎?

6月4日在新加坡召開的香格里拉對話上,美國國防部長卡特在演講中提出了美國的新亞太安全觀。美國致力於推動在亞太地區建立「基於規則的安全體系」(principled security network),即各國建立一致目標,共同製定軍事計劃和訓練內容,最終形成協調一致的軍事行動。 在這個條件下,美國歡迎一個和平、穩定、繁榮的中國的崛起​​,並在「基於規則的地區安全 […]

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